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Table 8 Africa: Net Cereal Imports (000 tons)

Sub-regions

and countries

ACTUAL

Alternative Projections

1985

1969-71

1972-74

1975-77

1978

Average Figure

North Africa
  Algeria 482 1,986 1,975 2,307 2,280 2,168
  Morocco 308 770 1,302 1,872 2,395 1,693
  Sudan 167 95 66 102 -168 -308
  Tunisia 442 12 474 876 756 492
  Total North Africa 1,399 3,163 3,817 5,157 5,263 4,045
Sahel
  Cape Verde I. 36 39 35 69 39 34
  Chad 10 28 16 87 322 322
  Gambia 15 16 36 100 34 34
  Mali 42 149 76 41 257 204
  Mauritania 64 126 121 150 186 176
  Niger - 49 39 5 64 24 - 45
  Senegal 291 357 443 501 636 507
  Burkina Faso 24 54 30 122 299 306
  Total Sahel 433 808 662 1,134 1,797 1,538
West Africa
  Benin 20 29 39 81 87 55
  Cameroon 86 113 83 119 181 211
  Ghana 114 168 158 333 108 193
  Guinea 41 61 55 94 134 8
  Guinea-Bissau 28 30 28 30 29 21
  Ivory Coast 141 213 162 370 320 343
  Liberia 52 54 51 67 85 87
  Nigeria 335 463 912 1,887 2,511 2,356
  Sierra Leone 62 67 36 73 108 94
  Togo 16 21 19 36 63 49
  Total West Africa 895 1,219 1,543 3,090 3,626 3,417
Central Africa
  Angola -65 47 127 154 89 152
  Central Afr. Rep. 12 16 10 5 29 43
  Congo 29 35 32 67 73 78
  Gabon 6 19 47 29 38 42
  Sao Tome and Principe 6 7 6 9 8 8  
  Zaire 183 402 356 314 950 910
  Total Central Africa 171 516 578 578 1,187 1,233
Eastern and Southern Africa
  Botswana 54 70 41 53 100 69
  Burundi 10 16 9 15 64 45
  Comoros 16 15 13 18 23 22
  Ethiopia 51 21 56 122 1,227 987
  Kenya - 94 83 30 99 403 227
  Lesotho 36 66 56 121 94 65
  Madagascar 18 100 117 260 331 301
  Malawi 32 25 27 - 27 89
  Mauritius 125 141 142 245 166 174
  Mozambique 93 60 193 68 288 258
  Swaziland - - 38 40    
  Tanzania 8 10 11 10 52 20
  Uganda 6 7 7 10 11 11
  Zambia 22 226 232 184 352 264
  Total Eastern and Southern Africa 617 776 1,062 1,073 3,702 2,899
Total Africa 3,515 6,482 7,662 11,032 15,575 13,132
Other countries1
  Djibouti 16 23 27 20 35 36
  Egypt 1,123 2,938 3,504 5,111 5,278 4,805
  Libya 367 370 550 570 575 433
  Somalia 75 61 115 85 153 91
  Total other countries 1,581 3,392 4,196 5,786 6,041 5,365


1Invited members of the UN Economic Commission for Africa but not belonging to the regional Conference.

Those of Nigeria increased fivefold, those of Benin fourfold. They also tripled in Central Africa. Angola, which used to export 10% of its production, came to import 21% of its consumption, and Gabonese imports went up fivefold.

Overall, it was eastern and southern Africa that had the lowest imports, the figures having not even doubled. There too, however, some countries faced particularly serious situations. Indeed, Tanzanian imports during the period increased more than eightfold, those of Ethiopia almost threefold. Madagascar imported most: 15 times more cereals in 1978 than in 1969-71. Egypt's imports, in the 'other countries' group, rose more than fourfold.

A number of countries stand out from this general deficit situation, however: these were net exporters or countries whose imports declined sharply. One such was Kenya which remained a net exporter and whose exports increased even further by 1978. In the rest of southern and eastern Africa, imports showed a declining trend in Botswana, Malawi and Uganda. In the other sub-regions, this downward trend can be observed only in the Central African Republic. It remains to be established whether or not these falls were due to inadequate means to finance imports.

As for food imports in the region, what has just been noted with regard to cereals is even more marked for some other basic food products. Thus, it is estimated that by 1985 milk import requirements will increase by 6.4% per annum and those of meat by 9.8%.

Food imports are thus rising year by year. On the basis of an index of 100 for 1969-71, the volume index of food imports for the region was 121 in 1972-74, 147 in 1975-77 and 210 in 1978. In value, between 1969-71 and 1978, imports rose by 389%. It goes without saying that for most countries that have serious external payments difficulties, this situation poses serious problems for food security and for economic development in general. Compared to that, international food aid destined for the region constituted only an addition of extremely limited scope. Thus, for example, the volume of food aid sent to the region increased by 25% per annum between 1974-75 and 1977-78. But that represented only 15% of cereal imports in the period.

Table 9 shows that calorie requirements are decidedly not being met. For the whole of Africa, calorie intake as a percentage of requirements was only 93 in 1969-71 and 94 in 1975-77. Considering the various sub-regions, it is only in North Africa that the norms could be met and this happened after 1972-74.


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