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Hydropolitics along the Jordan River
• Scarce Water and its Impact on the Arab-Israeli Conflict •

Table of contents (283 p.)

Aaron T. Wolf

United Nations University Press

Aaron T. Wolf, 1995

Maps 21 and 30, by Howard Sachar. Reprinted by permission of Alfred A. Knopf Inc.

The views expressed in this publication are those of the author and do not necessarily reflect the views of the United Nations University.

United Nations University Press
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ISBN 92-808-0859-1
05000 P

For Ariella with love


1. Introduction
2. Hydrography and history

History - Water conflict and cooperation

The emergence of agriculture and nationalism
Pre-1923: The shaping of modern nations
1923-1948: Nationalism, immigration, and "economic absorptive capacity"
1948-1964: Unilateral development and the Johnston negotiations
1964-1982: "Water Wars" and territorial adjustments
Israel, the West Bank, and Gaza
1982-Present: Hydrologic limits and peacemaking
Hydroconspiracy theories: The "hydraulic imperative," and "hydronationalism"
Conclusions: Historic summary and lessons for the future

3. Towards an interdisciplinary approach to water basin analysis and the resolution of international water disputes

3.1. Introduction
3.2. The nature of water conflicts
3.3. Paradigms for analysis of international water conflicts

3.3.1 Physical sciences and technology
3.3.2 Law
3.3.3 Political science
3.3.4 Economics
3.3.5 Game theory
3.3.6 Alternative dispute resolution (ADR)

3.4. An interdisciplinary approach to water basin analysis and conflict resolution

3.4.1 Summary of disciplinary survey
3.4.2 Towards an interdisciplinary approach
3.4.3 Water and its evaluation

4. Interdisciplinary analysis and the Jordan River watershed

4.1. Introduction
4.2. Preliminary watershed analysis

4.2.1 Survey of hydropolitical positions
4.2.2 Goal statement and planning horizon
4.2.3 Future water supply and demand, "water stress" index

4.3. Evaluation framework

4.3.1 Options and viability
4.3.2 Recommendations

4.4. Cooperation-inducing implementation: Three examples

4.4.1 Towards an agreement for sharing existing resources
4.4.2 Negotiations over the mountain aquifer
4.4.3 A Med-Dead or Red-Dead Canal as a cooperation-inducing desalination project

4.5. Conclusions: Water basin analysis and the Jordan River watershed

5. Summary and conclusions
Afterword: Parting the waters

Appendix I: Maps
Appendix II: Zionist boundaries, 1919
Appendix III: Hydronationalism
Appendix IV: PRINCE political accounting system
Appendix V: JRDNRVR. BAS projection model
Appendix VI: Med-Dead/Red-Dead desalination project



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