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TABLE 5. Protein supplies per capita and essential amino acid balances by regions and economic systems (1984-1986 averages)

  Population (millions) Protein supply EAA balance
Total Animal Requirement pattern Imbalance index Deficiencya S: R
(g/day) g/day % 1st LAA 2nd LAA Ratiob
World 4,085.8 70.3 24.1 34.3 1973 Thr .847 Lys .883 202,395  
          1985 SAA .722 Trp .782 379,894 3.8
          New Lys .830 Ile .961 1,055,012 2.2
Developed market Economies 817.8 99.4 59.9 60.3 1973 Thr .862 SAA .925 85,997  
          1985 SAA .659 Trp .731 122,056 4.9
          New Leu .912 Trp .932 51,998 3.0
North America 264.2 105.5 69.8 66.2 1 973 Thr .861 SAA .914 25 ,475  
          1985 SAA .652 Trp .716 38,215 5.1
          New Leu .907 Trp .912 4,000 3.2
Western Europe 377.3 100.8 59.8 59.3 1973 Thr. 860 SAA .931 45.907  
          1985 SAA .657 Trp .735 62.109 4.9
          New Leu .909 Trp .939 36,600 3.0
Oceania 19.0 102.4 66.9 65.3 1973 Thr .865 SAA .920 1,780  
          1985 SAA .664 Trp .737 2,860 4.8
          New Leu .909 Trp .938 1,792 3.0
Other 157.4 85.5 42.6 49.8 1973 Thr .868 SAA . 920 11.9 1 0  
          1985 SAA .671 Trp .754 22,679 4.7
          New Lys .930 Leu .937 2,425 3.1
Developing market economies 2,466. 0 59.0 13.6 23.1 1973 Lys .816 Thr .837 68.070  
          1985 SAA .744 Lys .750 15,406 3.2
          New Lys .767 Ile.951 625,771 1.8
Africa 449.8 53.3 10.5 19.7 1973 Lys .794 Thr .840 23,674  
          1985 Lys .723 SAA .743 11,049 2.8
          New Lys .746 Ile .935 31,605 1.7
Latin America 401.1 68.6 27.8 40.5 1973 Thr .855 SAA .903 21,884  
          1985 SAA .707 Trp .770 31,515 3.2
          New Lys .867 Ile .949 54,176 2.1
Near East 238.2 88.8 20.1 24.9 1973 Lys .796 Thr .835 16,137  
          1985 SAA .740 Lys .767 9,558 4.5
          New Lys .747 Ile .942 84,460 2.1
Far East 1,371.6 54.4 9.3 17.1 1973 Lys .789 Thr .830 66,529  
          1985 Lys .722 SAA .759 66,799 2.9
          New Lys .742 Ile .959 376,507 1.6
Other 5.3 52.6 22.0 41.8 1973 Thr .890 Val .962 331  
          1985 SAA .781 Trp .794 64 3.1
          New Leu .896 Lys .918 192 2.0
Centrally planned Economies 1,52 1.9 73. 1 21.9 30. 0 1973 Thr .848 Lys .851 4,6 19  
          1985 SAA .732 Trp .788 118.986 4.0
          New Lys .799 Leu .961 426,806 2.1
Asia 1,129.6 61.9 10.5 17.0 1973 Lys .775 Thr .837 94,847  
          1985 Lys .724 SAA .747 37,773 3.4
          New Lys .728 Ile .962 382,024 1.7
Eastern Europe and USSR 392.3 105.1 54.4 51.8 1973 Thr .868 Val .943 51,750 5.2
          1985 SAA .699 Trp .739 33,873 3.1
          New Leu .910 Lys .919 10,871  

a. Deficiency of first LAA relative to second LAA, in tons pcr year.
b. Ratio of supply of first LAA to requirement.

The LAA S:R ratios for the new EAA pattern range from 1.6 in the Far East to 3.2 in North America. The ratios of 1.7 in Africa, 1.6 in the Far East, and 1.7 in the Asian centrally planned economies imply that the nutritional status in these regions is precarious. To establish the EAA imbalance throughout the world, table 6 shows the differences between the first LAAs as determined by the new pattern in 110 countries with populations of more than I million in 1984-1986 and those based on the 1985 and 1973 patterns. According to the 1973 pattern, the first LAA is Thr in countries with higher LAA S:R ratios and Lys in countries with lower ratios. although it is SAA in a few African countries where pulses are a staple food. The first LAA according to the 1985 pattern is mostly SAA, though it is tryptophan (Trp) in countries where livestock husbandry is extensive; and Lys is still the first LAA in most countries with LAA S:R ratios lower than 2.0. According to the new pattern, however, for most countries where the ratios are below 3.0, the first LAA is Lys. This remarkable difference indicates that a poor-lysine equator zone encircles the globe. For countries with ratios higher than 3.0 under the new pattern, SAA is limiting rather than Leu.

TABLE 6. Differences in the first limiting amino acid depending on the EAA requirement pattern used, in countries with populations of more than 1 million (1984-1986 averages)

  Protein supply (g/ day)a S:R Ratiob First LAA
Total Animal New pattern 1985 pattern 1973 pattern
Australia, Austria, Belgium/Luxembourg, Cana da, Congo, Cuba, Czechoslovakia, Denmark, Finland, France, German Dem. Rep., Ger many (FRG), Greece, Hong Kong, Hungary Italy, Ireland, Japan, Kuwatt, Netherlands, New Zealand, Norway, Singapore, Spain, Sweden, Switzerland, Trinidad & Tobago, UAE, UK, USA, USSR 96.7 59.1 3.0 Leu SAA Thr
Argentina, Poland, Uruguay 95.7 61.2 3.0 Trp
Bolivia, Brazil, Bulgaria, Central African Rep., Chile, Colombia, Costa Rica, Dominican Rep., Ecuador, Ghana, Guinea, Korea (Dem. People's Rep.), Korea (Rep.), Madagascar, Malaysia, Mauritania, Mauritius, Mexico, Panama, Paraguay, Peru, Philippines, Portugal, Romania, Saudi Arabia, Sierra Leone, Sudan, Thailand, Venezuela, Yugoslavia, Zaire 65.5 36.8 2.1 Lys
Mongolia 92.5 53.1 3.5 Leu Trp
Israel 99.0 52.2 3.6 Trp
Libya, Jamaica 75.2 38.8 2.5 Lys
Liberia 43.1 23.0 1.5 Lys
Burundi, Rwanda 60.6 6.9 2.1 SAA SAA SAA
Somalia, Uganda 59.7 39.2 2.3 SAA Lys
Benin, Botswana, Cameroon, Cote d'lvoire, Haiti, Indonesia, Sri Lanka, Tanzania 53.3 20.5 1.7 Lys
Algena, Bangladesh, Burkino Faso, China, Egypt, Guatemala, Honduras, India, Kenya, Lesotho, Malawi, Mali, Morocco, Mozam- bique, Myanmar, Nepal, Niger, Nigeria, Pakistan, Senegal, South Africa, Syria, Togo, Tunisia, Turkey, Yemen (Dem.), Zambia, Zimbabwe 62.1 19.6 1.8 Lys

a. Per capita averages.
b. Averages of ratios of supply of first LAA to requirement according to the new requirement pattern.

Economic aspects of essential amino acid imbalance

Figures 1-3 plot the shifts in the imbalance indexes for the first LAA (according to the 1973, 1985, and new patterns respectively) in relation to the average animal-protein ratios and per capita GDP for the four time periods studied in the 23 countries listed in table 4. Generally, the first-LAA I.I.'s tend to increase and approach 1.0 as animal-protein ratios increase successively, up to a limit, with increases in GDP. Beyond this limit, the I.I.'s decrease, so that too high an animal-protein ratio is also disruptive to the LAA.

Figure 1 (see FIG. 1. 1973 EAA scoring pattern: relation between imbalance indexes for the first limiting amino acids and animal-protein ratios in 23 countries with populations over 35 million, in four periods between 1972 and 1986) shows that, if we use the 1973 EAA pattern, the first LAA appears to change gradually from Lys to Thr. For the 1985 pattern. figure 2 (see FIG. 2. 1985 EAA scoring pattern: relation between imbalance indexes for the first limiting amino acids and animal-protein ratios) shows a change in the first LAA from Lys to SAA at lower I.I. levels than in figure 1. In contrast to figures 1 and 2, figure 3 for the 1990 pattern shows a change in the first LAA from Lys to Leu in a narrower belt zone. where the I.I. starts at a lower level and reaches a higher level before turning downward. The correlation of world GDP with animal-protein ratios on average for 1972 to 1986 is also illustrated by these figures. Figure 3 (see FIG. 3. New EAA scoring pattern: relation between imbalance indexes for the first limiting amino acids and animal-protein ratios), based on the 1990 pattern, indicates that deficiencies of Lys are the primary problem in most developing countries and globally.

 

Conclusion

The standard correlations of global GDP in US dollars at 1980 prices with total protein supplies and animal-protein ratios were calculated using 19841986 data. The current protein supply by country is improving. However, the changes in slope for the global correlations show an upward trend in protein prices, especially for animal protein.

The ratios of supplies to requirements of the first LAA in 23 countries range from 2.0 to 5.3 according to the 1985 essential amino acid pattern. However, they decrease to 1.2-3.4 if we use the 1990 pattern.

The ratio for the world decreases from 3.0 for the former to 2.2 for the latter.

 

Acknowledgements

I would like to express my grateful thanks to Professors Nevin S. Scrimshaw and Vernon R. Young for their advice on this paper; and to the Statistics Division of FAO, the Statistical Office of the United Nations, and the Economic and Social Data Division of the World Bank for providing access to the latest statistical information on world food balances and economics.

 

References

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