F. SOURCES :

 

 

a. Published and unpublished material

 

Abrahamson, Hand, and Anders Nilsson, 1993: Moçambique em Transição. Um estudo da história de desenvolvimento durante o período 1974-1992. Goteborg: PADRIGU – Peace and Development Research Institute.

 

Borges Coelho, João Paulo, 1993: “Protected villages and communal villages in the Mozambican province of Tete. A history of state resettlement policies, development and war”. Bradford: University of Bradford [unpublished doctoral thesis].

 

Chenje, M. and Johnson, P. (eds.), 1994: The State of the Environment in Southern Africa: a Report by the Southern Africa Research and Documentation Center, Harare: SARDC.

 

Chenje, M. and Johnson, P. (eds.), 1996: Water in Southern Africa, Maseru and Harare: SADC/IUCN/SARDC.

 

Delegation of the European Commission in Maputo [1997]: “Comments on the Multisectoral Action Plan for Reduction of Drought Effects presented by the Ministry of Agriculture”, Maputo: unpublished.

 

FAO/WFP, 1997: “FAO/WFP Crop and Food Supply Assessment Mission to Mozambique. Special Report”. Maputo, 16 May.

 

Folmer, E.C.R., P.M. H. Geurts and J. R. Francisco, 1998, “Assessment of soil fertility and depletion in Mozambique”, in Agriculture, Ecosystems and Environment 71.

 

Glantz, M., 1995: ‘Forecasting by Analogy: Local Responses to Global Climate Change’, paper given to the International Conference on Climate Change Adaptation Assessments, St. Petersburg, Russia, 22-26 May.

 

Glantz, Michael H., 1996, Corrientes de Cambio: El Impacto de “El Niño” sobre el Clima y la Sociedade. Valparaiso: Oficina de Assistencia para Desastres.

 

Gomes, René, Graham Farmer and Andrew Bakun, 1997: An El Niño – Southern Oscillation Primer (ENSO) – 22 August 1997”. [Rome]: FAO, August.

 

Government of Mozambique, 1996: Estudo Agroclimático da Precipitação e sua Aplicação na Segurança Alimentar. Maputo: Sistema Nacional de Aviso Prévio para a Segurança Alimentar.

 

Governo de Moçambique, [1997a]: “A Campanha Agrícola 1997/98 e o Fenómeno El Niño-Oscilação Sul”. Maputo, n/d.

 

 

 

Government of Mozambique, 1997b: “Action Planning in Response to the Seasonal Climate Forecast for Mozambique. Report from the Meeting”. Maputo: Ministry for the Coordination of Environmental Affairs, National Meteorological Institute and International Research Institute for Climate Prediction (New York). September 15th and 16th.

 

Governo de Moçambique, 1997c: “Plano de Acção para a Minimização dos Efeitos da Seca, 1997-1998 (Versão Final)”, Maputo, Dezembro.

 

Government of Mozambique, 1998a: “Action Planning in Response to the Seasonal Climate Forecast for Mozambique. Report from the Follow up Meeting”. Maputo: Ministry for the Coordination of Environmental Affairs, National Meteorological Institute. February 18th and 19th.

 

Government of Mozambique, 1998b: Understanding Poverty and Well-Being in Mozambique. The First National Assessment (1996-97). Maputo: Ministry of Planning and Finance, Eduardo Mondlane University, International Food Policy Research Institute. December.

 

Hanlon, Joseph, 1991: Mozambique: Who Calls the Shots? London: James Currey.

 

Instituto Nacional de Estatística, 1997: Anuário Estatístico 1996. Maputo: Instituto Nacional de Estatística.

 

Instituto Nacional de Estatística, 1999: Mocambique em Numeros 1998. Maputo: Instituto Nacional de Estatística

 

Kininmonth, W., 1999: “The 1997-98 El Niño Event: A Scientific and Technical Retrospective”, Geneva: WMO [draft].

 

Liesegang, G. J., 1982: “Famines, epidemics, plagues and long periods of warfare: their effects in Mozambique 1700-1975”.  Paper presented to the Conference on Zimbabwean History: Progress and Development, University of Zimbabwe, 23-27 August.

 

Liesegang, G., 1993:  “Technology, Space, Climate and Biology: the incidence and impact of drought, famines, pests, epidemics and wars in the history of Mozambique c.1515-1990”, Departamento de Historia, UEM, 1993 [draft].

 

Lúcio, Filipe, and Jorge Amade, 1996: “Estudo para a identificação das zonas afectadas pela seca e/ou em perigo de desertificação em Moçambique”. Maputo: unpublished.


 

McMichael, A. J., et al. (Eds.), 1996: Climate Change and Human Health: An assessment prepared by a Task Group on behalf of the World Health Organization, the World Meteorological Organization and the United Nations Environment Program. Geneva: WHO.

 

Moyo, S., P. O’Keefe, and M. Sill, 1993: The Southern African Environment: Profiles of the SADC Countries, London: Earthscan.

 

Newitt, M. D. D., 1988: “Drought in Mozambique 1823-1831”, Journal of Southern African Studies, 15, 1.

 

Patrício, Domingos M., 1999: “Rede, observações meteorológicas e agrometeorologia”, Maputo: Instituto Nacional de Meteorologia.

 

Pearce, F. 1999: “Weather Warning”, New Scientist, 9 October.

 

Quinn, W. H., Neal, V. T., and Antunez de Matolo, S. E., 1987: “El Niño occurrences over the past four and a half centuries”, Journal of Geophysical Research, 92, 14.

 

Raikes, Philip, 1988: Modernising Hunger. London: CIIR, James Currey.

 

Ratilal, Prakash, 1989, Mozambique: Using Aid to End Emergency, New York: UNDP, World Development.

 

Roxo Leão, António, 1997: “O El Niño e a África Austral”, in Moçambiente, 20, Novembro.

 

Sistema Nacional de Aviso Prévio para a Segurança Alimentar, 1997a: “O Fenómeno do Niño e seu Impacto em Moçambique, Campanha Agrícola 97/98. Edição Especial”. Maputo, Direcção Nacional de Agricultura, July.

 

Sistema Nacional de Aviso Prévio para a Segurança Alimentar, 1997b: “O Impacto de El Niño-Oscilação Sul (ENOS) na Agricultura em Moçambique. Nota Técnica”. Maputo, September.

 

Sistema Nacional de Aviso Prévio para a Segurança Alimentar, 1997c: “Situação agrometeorológica actual. Campanha agrícola 1997/1998. Maputo, SNAPSA, December.

 

Sistema Nacional de Aviso Prévio para a Segurança Alimentar, 1998: “Monitoramento do fenómeno El Niño e execução do Plano de Acção”, Maputo: Direcção Nacional de Agricultura, June.

 

Sistema Nacional de Aviso Prévio para a Segurança Alimentar, [1998]: “Impacto do Fenómeno ‘El Niño’ na Produção de Cereais em Moçambique”. Maputo, Direcção Nacional de Agricultura, [October].

 

Tyson, P. D. 1981: “Atmospheric circulation variations and the occurrence of extended wet and dry spells over South Africa”. Journal of Climatology, 1.

 

Tyson, P. D., 1987: Climate Change and Variability in Southern Africa, Cape Town: Oxford University Press.

 

United Nations Development Program, 1998: Mozambique: National Human Development Report 1998. Maputo: UNDP.

 

Vail, L., and L. White, L, 1980: Capitalism and Colonialism in Mozambique, London: Heinemann.

 

Vos, R., M. Velasco, and E. de Labiastida, 1999: “Economic and Social Effects of ‘El Niño’ in Ecuador, 1997-8”, Institute of Social Studies Working Paper Series No. 292, ISS, The Hague, The Netherlands.

 

World Food Programme, 1997a: “An Initial Framework for Drought Contingency Planning for the World Food Programme.” Maputo: WFP Southern Africa Regional Office, November.

 

World Food Program, 1997b: “WFP Regional Contingency Planning for El Niño. Information Update from WFP Regional Office for Southern Africa”. Maputo, 24 December.

 

World Food Program, 1998: “Threat of El Niño-Induced Drought Receding in Southern Africa, But Lower Harvest Predicted. Press Release”, http://www.wfp.org/prelease/1998/980326.html

 

World Meteorological Organization, 1999: The 1997-1998 El Niño Event: A Scientific and Technical Retrospective. Geneva: WMO.

 

Young, S. J., “Climate in Southern Mozambique: Identifying and quantifying extent and periodicity of nineteenth and twentieth century drought”, Environmental History Workshop, University of Natal, Pietermaritzburg, 8-10 July 1996.

 


 

b. Interviews

 

Silvano Langa, National Director, Instituto Nacional de Gestão das Calamidades – INGC (former director of DPCCN), Maputo, 11 January 2000.

 

João Macaringue, former head of LSU, Maputo, 10 January 2000.

 

Mussa Mustafa, INAM. Maputo, 15 December 1999.

 

Mário Ruy Marques, INIA. Maputo, 16 December 1999.

 

Filipe Lúcio, Director of INAM. Maputo, 4 January 2000.

 

Ebenizário Chonguiça, Head of IUCN/Maputo. Maputo, 21 December 1999.

 

Jorge Amade, INIA, Maputo: 16 February 2000.

 

Domingos Patrício, INAM. Maputo, 15 December 1999.

 

Paula Meneses, (department) UEM, 20 March 2000

 

 

c. Personal communications

 

Zapata, A., ‘Cuadro de sintesis, Grandes eventos El Niño en la costa peruana’, January 2000.

 

Lucas, M. Maputo, 20 December 1999.